Lamar Jackson hopes to stay hot against the Jaguars, Deshaun Watson looks to get back on track vs. the Colts and Jared Goff eyes a dream matchup in the Jets.
Other positions: Running Back | Receiver | Tight End/Kickers/Defense
Week 15 Quarterbacks
QB Notes: Aaron Rodgers has thrown for three-plus touchdowns in 10-of-13 starts. You don’t see that too often. The Panthers just got decked by Drew Lock. … Patrick Mahomes threw three interceptions against the Dolphins and finished as the QB8. Mahomes is a worse matchup for the Saints than vice versa in a domed affair with a 51.5 over/under. Mahomes would have been better served by Drew Brees being under center than Taysom Hill. … Scarily packed in, the Jaguars’ “defense” presents a golden opportunity for back-to-back QB1 overall finishes from Lamar Jackson, who is the QB1 by average points over the past three weeks. If they were ever gone, Jackson’s legs were all the way back in Cleveland. …. The QB5 by average points over the past three weeks is Josh Allen, who just turned in the QB13 performance vs. the Steelers’ elite defense. … Kyler Murray’s 13 Week 14 rush attempts were nearly as many as he had over his previous three efforts combined (15). Either his shoulder is healthy or the Cardinals are throwing caution to the wind as they cling to playoff contention. Without a ground score in over a month, Murray is catching an Eagles Defense that has allowed the most QB rushing yardage.
As feared, Derrick Henry dismantled the Jaguars on the ground, limiting Ryan Tannehill to a QB20 finish in a contest the Titans led 31-3 early in the third quarter. There are similar concerns for Week 15 against the Lions, ones that will be amplified if Matthew Stafford (ribs) can’t go. If it’s Chase Daniel, Tannehill may need to be dropped a few spots despite a sky high Titans team total. … Week 14 was old school Russell Wilson, with the All-Pro producing four scores on 27 attempts. That was against one of the league’s worst football teams. Now Wilson must face the Football Team, a unit permitting the third fewest passing yards. Wilson can always get there, but his ceiling odds are lower for the fantasy semis. … I would have ranked Drew Brees (ribs) in the QB8-10 range. That’s where Taysom Hill finds himself despite last week’s less impressive but still fantasy productive performance. … Tom Brady is doing the best he can to get himself off probation. Last week’s low-key affair (QB21) was due to the Vikings hogging the ball. That won’t be an issue vs. the Falcons’ collapsing offense and awful defense.
No Brandin Cooks (neck) helped lead to Week 14 disaster for Deshaun Watson. The Colts are far from an ideal rebound spot, though Watson finished as the QB14 in the sides’ first meeting two weeks ago. Cooks should be back for a contest with a 51 over/under. … Jared Goff has only two passing scores over his past three starts. The Jets, who might as well not even be on the field, will try to get that corrected. A 17.5-point spread will lead to lots of running for Cam Akers. … The QB9, QB8, QB19 and QB15 over the past month, Philip Rivers returns to the scene of his 77.1 completion percentage and 8.7 yards per attempt for 285/2 in Week 13 against the Titans. T.Y. Hilton’s resurgence has returned some ceiling to Rivers’ game, even if the ground will be the Colts’ primary theater of attack. … Justin Herbert is running out of gas for his deflated team, averaging the 25th most QB fantasy points over the past three weeks. The Raiders are a premium matchup, but so were the Falcons, and to a lesser extent, the Patriots. A revival would be in no way surprising. The same goes for a continued slump, especially considering the injuries to his receiver corps.
Jalen Hurts threw for only 167 yards in his first start but still finished as the QB11. He has that Lamar Jackson/Taysom Hill power on the ground, furnishing a nearly automatic floor with room to grow in the ceiling department. The Cardinals are a tough test, but not as tough as New Orleans was. Just five defenses have coughed up more QB rushing yards. That’s despite the fact that the Cardinals’ schedule has been low on dual-threats. … Ben Roethlisberger has a 7:5 TD:INT ratio and 5.48 YPA over his past four starts. The Steelers going ever more pass happy has not enhanced Roethlisberger’s fantasy returns. The Bengals are the place to figure some things out. … Derek Carr has banked back-to-back top-five finishes to get himself all the way up to QB12 by average points on the year. The Chargers are not a plus short-week opponent, though Carr’s floor is fairly safe at this point. … Mitchell Trubisky, QB7? It happened last Sunday. The Vikings’ defense is terrible, but … Trubisky has played five full games against Mike Zimmer in his career. He has two passing scores and a 52.0 completion percentage. This is a good spot. It could also be a trap.
Kirk Cousins was finally cooled by the Bucs in Week 14. The Bears steadied their sinking ship against Houston last week. Justin Jefferson and Adam Thielen keep Cousins in the top 20, but he will probably split the difference between his hot streak and last week’s cooldown. … Teddy Bridgewater looked refreshed following the Panthers’ Week 13 bye. At the very least, he will be needed for volume in Green Bay. … I want to get Tua Tagovailoa higher. His problems are twofold. 1. Young QB destroyer Bill Belichick. 2. Every Dolphins pass catcher being hurt. Tagovailoa is still showing more than he is getting credit for on Twitter. … Matthew Stafford (ribs) seems on the wrong side of questionable. His ranking could go a variety of ways depending on the updates on his health and supporting cast. … Matt Ryan is the QB23 by average points. Julio Jones (hamstring) is not guaranteed to be back vs. the Bucs. … I want to give Baker Mayfield more credit after his back-to-back QB3 efforts. The Giants are a tough spot to do so. … Alex Smith (calf) seems truly 50-50. The Seahawks are not the passing matchup they were in the first half of the season. … Drew Lock occasionally confounds his low expectations. Getting better on defense, the Bills are unlikely to present such an opportunity.